Tondelavs
Academico Viseu
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/19/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tondela are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Academico Viseu are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tondela hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00