Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tondela · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tondela 0-2 Academica
Original prediction
Tondela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Tondela
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Tondela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TondelaLWLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AcademicaWWDDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TondelaAcademica
45.1Attack100.0
57.8Defence66.7
48.0Form100.0
52.3Power88.7
1.15xG1.25