GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tonbridge Angels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tonbridge Angels 5-1 Walton & Hersham

Original prediction

Tonbridge Angels

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6156.0%61.3%5.3 pts
Draw3.9822.7%21.0%-1.7 pts
Away4.2621.2%17.7%-3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.3–010%

Predicted outcome

Tonbridge Angels

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Tonbridge Angels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tonbridge AngelsDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Walton & HershamLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tonbridge AngelsWalton & Hersham
53.3Attack13.3
60.0Defence0.0
46.7Form0.0
52.9Power11.8
2.38xG0.81
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