Tonbridge Angelsvs
Hemel Hempstead Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tonbridge Angels · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Original prediction
Tonbridge Angels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.4% | 53.3% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 25.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.9% | 20.9% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Projected Score
Tonbridge Angels 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Tonbridge Angels
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Tonbridge Angels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80