Tonbridge Angelsvs
Ebbsfleet United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tonbridge Angels · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United
Original prediction
Tonbridge Angels
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.8% | 46.8% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 26.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.7% | 26.9% | -10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Tonbridge Angels
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Tonbridge Angels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80