Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tomášov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tomášov are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Gabčíkovo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gabčíkovo hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Cup, while Tomášov holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tomášov
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
8.1%
Tomášov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20