Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tomislav · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tomislav are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Travnik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.8 against 55.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the 1st League - FBiH, while Tomislav holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tomislav
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.6%
Tomislav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80