Tomislavvs
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tomislav 0-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Original prediction
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23.33 | 3.9% | 34.5% | 30.6 pts |
| Draw | 9.58 | 9.5% | 22.0% | 12.5 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 86.6% | 43.5% | -43.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-43.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00