Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tombense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Oratório are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Oratório hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00