GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tombense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Democrata GV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TombenseDDLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Democrata GVLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TombenseDemocrata GV
36.1Attack41.7
80.6Defence63.9
50.0Form50.0
56.8Power53.6
0.84xG0.55
View match centre →