Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tijuana W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00