GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 5/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tigres UANL W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 88.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDLDWW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tigres UANL WWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WTigres UANL W
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
94.8Power88.8
1.96xG1.62
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