GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 2/9/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tigres UANL W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 88.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDWDDD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tigres UANL WWWWWW

GF 23 · GA 5 · avg 4.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WTigres UANL W
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
94.8Power88.8
1.96xG1.62
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