Toluca Wvs
Santos Laguna W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toluca W 0-0 Santos Laguna W
Original prediction
Toluca W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.9% | 79.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 15.8% | 11.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 8.81 | 10.3% | 8.9% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.3–07%
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
79.3%
Model confidence
79.3%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80