GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 7/19/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santos Laguna W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDWWDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Santos Laguna WDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WSantos Laguna W
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
94.8Power42.7
2.57xG1.17
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