GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 4/11/2024, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Querétaro W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Querétaro WDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WQuerétaro W
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence16.7
100.0Form0.0
94.8Power21.5
2.77xG1.15
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