GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 1/17/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pumas UNAM W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 61.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDWLLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pumas UNAM WLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WPumas UNAM W
100.0Attack55.6
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form33.3
94.8Power33.8
2.94xG1.27
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