Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Puebla W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 83.6-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00