Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Puebla W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 83.6-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60