Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Pachuca W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60