Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Pachuca W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50