GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 11/9/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Monterrey W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WWWWLL

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Monterrey WWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WMonterrey W
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
94.8Power86.5
2.00xG1.59
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