GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/4/2025, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mazatlán W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 75.3-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 19.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

87.9%

Model confidence

87.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDDLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mazatlán WLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WMazatlán W
100.0Attack31.4
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form14.7
94.8Power19.6
4.11xG0.73
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