GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 1/9/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mazatlán W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 75.3-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 19.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

87.9%

Model confidence

87.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mazatlán WLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WMazatlán W
100.0Attack31.4
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form14.7
94.8Power19.6
4.11xG0.73
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