GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 1/26/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mazatlán W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 75.3-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 19.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

87.9%

Model confidence

87.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDDDWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mazatlán WLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WMazatlán W
100.0Attack31.4
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form14.7
94.8Power19.6
4.11xG0.73
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