Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while León W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40