Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Juárez W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
10.3%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20