Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toluca W 2-0 Juárez W
Original prediction
Toluca W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
10.3%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Toluca WWLLWW
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Juárez WWLDWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WJuárez W
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
1.99xG1.49