Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Juárez W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00