Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Juárez W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80