Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Juárez W are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00