GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/14/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guadalajara W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalajara WDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Toluca WGuadalajara W
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
94.8Power90.7
1.98xG1.63
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