GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/2/2024, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Guadalajara W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalajara WWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WGuadalajara W
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
94.8Power90.7
1.98xG1.63
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