Toluca Wvs
Guadalajara W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/9/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guadalajara W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80