GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cruz Azul W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 51.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WDWWLW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cruz Azul WLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WCruz Azul W
100.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form66.7
94.8Power43.3
2.88xG1.38
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