GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/12/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cruz Azul W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 51.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz Azul WWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Toluca WCruz Azul W
100.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form66.7
94.8Power43.3
2.88xG1.38
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