GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/20/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cruz Azul W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 51.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WWWLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cruz Azul WLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WCruz Azul W
100.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form66.7
94.8Power43.3
2.88xG1.38
View match centre →