GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 11/1/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlético San Luis W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toluca WWWLLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Atlético San Luis WLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Toluca WAtlético San Luis W
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence16.7
100.0Form50.0
94.8Power42.7
2.72xG1.25
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