Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Atlas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 57.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
9.6%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80