Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toluca W 1-1 Atlas W
Original prediction
Toluca W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Toluca WWWLLW
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlas WDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WAtlas W
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form16.7
94.8Power31.3
2.59xG1.16