Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Toluca W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Atlas W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 63.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60