Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while América W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 91.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60