Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 91.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60