Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 02:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Toluca
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Toluca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TolucaLDLWW
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MonterreyWLWDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TolucaMonterrey
76.7Attack59.3
60.0Defence48.1
66.7Form48.1
67.7Power51.7
2.67xG1.22