Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Toluca
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Toluca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TolucaWWDWL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AtlasDWWWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TolucaAtlas
53.3Attack53.3
73.3Defence66.7
66.7Form80.0
66.0Power69.3
1.33xG1.08