Toluca U21vs
Necaxa U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Toluca U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Necaxa U21 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca U21 hold a 43.2-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga MX U21, while Toluca U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80