Toluca U21vs
Juarez U21
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Juarez U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca U21 hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Liga MX U21, while Toluca U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
14.1%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40