Toluca U21vs
Club Tijuana U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Toluca U21 1-0 Club Tijuana U21, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Toluca U21 5-0 Club Tijuana U21
Original prediction
Toluca U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.8% | 57.7% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.2% | 17.1% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Toluca U21 1–0 Club Tijuana U21
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20