Toluca U21vs
Atlas U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Toluca U21 0-0 Atlas U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Toluca U21 2-0 Atlas U21
Original prediction
Toluca U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.4% | 44.5% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 28.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.0% | 27.1% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Toluca U21 0–0 Atlas U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Toluca U21WWDWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlas U21WWDWL
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca U21Atlas U21
55.6Attack47.6
77.8Defence81.0
77.8Form52.4
72.8Power59.6
1.08xG0.81