Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dob · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tolmin are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Dob are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dob hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the 3. SNL - West, while Dob holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dob
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
12.1%
Dob has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40