Tokyo Verdyvs
Vissel Kobe
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.88 | 24.1% | 28.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.6% | 29.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 45.3% | 42.5% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80