Tokyo Verdyvs
Urawa
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tokyo Verdy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Urawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 24.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the J1 League, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tokyo Verdy
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80